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DTN Midday Grain Comments 04/14 10:46
Corn, Wheat Futures Higher at Midday Tuesday; Soybeans Flat-Higher
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents higher at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are
flat to 1 cent higher; wheat futures are 9 to 18 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents higher at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are
flat to 1 cent higher; wheat futures are 9 to 18 cents higher. The U.S. stock
market is firmer at midday with the S&P 60 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 30 points lower. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade is
weaker with crude off 5.70 and natural gas off .04. Livestock trade is mixed
with cattle leading. Precious metals are firmer with gold up 50.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents higher at midday with trade once again trying
to build momentum off the lower end of the range after fading Monday. Ethanol
margins should remain strong with unleaded holding the upper end of the range
with spring driving demand holding up for now. The daily export wire saw sales
of 316,000 metric tons to Mexico and 120,000 mt to unknown. Basis likely
continues to hold the recent range. USDA reported planting progress at 5%
versus 4% on average. The center of the Corn Belt is likely to stay slow in
progressing. On the May chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at $4.57
with the lower Bollinger Band at $4.39, which we closed back above Monday.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are flat to 1 cent higher at midday with meal leading the
product complex again as we continue to struggle to hold strength. Meal is 1.50
to 2.50 higher and oil is 15 to 25 points lower. South America should continue
to push through remaining harvest. Basis may drift lower in the short-term
depending on how crush margins hold up through midmonth. Weekly crop progress
showed planting at 6% complete versus 2% on average. On the May contract, chart
resistance is $11.67, where we find the 20-day moving average, which we tested
overnight, with the Lower Bollinger Band at $11.30 as support.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 9 to 18 cents higher at midday with KC action leading
again after slight condition declines as we look to consolidate the bounce we
saw Monday. Weather for the Plains looks to keep the west warm and drier this
week with the second week showing some better potential. Matif wheat is lightly
firmer to start. Weekly crop progress showed heading at 11% versus 7% on
average, with conditions 1% lower to 34% good to excellent, and 32% poor to
very poor with spring wheat 6% planted versus 7% on average. On the KC May
chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at $6.12, which we are above at
midday, with the lower Bollinger Band at $5.86 as support.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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